Návrat k drachmě pocítíme i my

The Economist o možném vývoji v Řecku, opustí-li euro:

(...) Hyperinflation would be a real possibility. The political dynamics of such turmoil are difficult to foresee, but one suspects that fringe parties would only benefit from chaos. As The Economist has warned, Greece might well become a failed state upon leaving the euro zone. It might not, of course, but I'd put more money on disaster than salvation.

I suspect matters would worsen for the euro zone, as well. Some now argue that exposure to Greece has been reduced sufficiently that the rest of the single-currency area could cut the country loose without too much financial trouble. That might be right. The question is whether this particular genie, once released, could be contained. The stakes of such a gamble would be enormous. If there were contagion, and if markets attacked Ireland, Portugal, and perhaps Spain and Italy, thinking that they could be next, the euro zone might be overwhelmed and driven into chaotic collapse. (...)

Autor dodává, že se tohle všechno samozřejmě stát nemusí — a má pravdu, situace je nepředvídatelná. Nezdá se mi ale pravděpodobné, že by to mohlo dopadnout tak, že Evropa zůstane nedotčená a Řecko, poté co projde očistcem, začne prosperovat. Schytáme pořádný otřes. Jak moc destruktivní, toť otázka.

The Economist: The Euro crisis - No way out